OH-Pres/OH-Sen: Obama leads narrowly, Brown’s Senate lead still in double digits
div id=”uimg_right”img src=”http://www.dailykos.com/i/admin/Brown__Sherrod__OH_Sen_D.jpg” / div id=”uimg_caption”OH-Sen: Brown leads by 13 points/div /div pAs President Obama’s national numbers continue to linger near their low ebb (currently residing in the low 40s both according to a href=”http://www.gallup.com/poll/113980/Gallup-Daily-Obama-Job-Approval.aspx”Gallup/a and our own a href=”http://dailykos.com/weeklypolling/2011/9/22″tracking poll/a), Democrats can take some solace in two continuing themes in recent polling:/p ul liBarack Obama still holds nominal leads over his likeliest GOP rivals./li liDemocrats downballot appear to be more than holding their own, in most cases./li /ul pThe latest bit of evidence to buttress those two themes emanates this week out of the state of Ohio, where Quinnipiac’s latest numbers out of the Buckeye State show the president reeling from underwater approval numbers, but still remaining out in front of the two Republicans who are currently leading the GOP field:/p pa href=”http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1322.xml?ReleaseID=1652″Quinnipiac/a. 9/20-25. Registered voters. MoE 2.7% (7/21 results):/p blockquotebBarack Obama (D):/b 44 (45)br / bMitt Romney (R):/b 42 (41) pbBarack Obama (D):/b 44 (47)br / bRick Perry (R):/b 41 (35)br //p /blockquote pThe president has a job approval spread of 42/53, the lowest of his term to date in Ohio, according to Quinnipiac. But in a sign that the electorate is not sold on the alternative, consider the following: Obama is at a dismal 39/58 spread with Independent voters. Yet he is tied with Romney among indies, and actually holds a three-point lead among indies when paired with Perry./p pIf there is a troubling stat under the hood for Obama and the Democrats, it might be the re-emergence of an enthusiasm gap in Ohio, to the detriment of the blue team. 51 percent of Republicans declare themselves “more enthusiastic” about the 2012 elections than normal, compared to just 24 percent of independents and 23 percent of Democrats./p pIf Obama’s numbers are tenuous in Ohio, progressive Democratic incumbent Sen. Sherrod Brown is looking considerably stronger. Sporting the best approval ratings of his career (52/31), Brown continues to hold strong leads over either Republican stacked against him:/p blockquotebSherrod Brown (D)/b 49 (49)br / bJosh Mandel (R)/b 36 (34) pbSherrod Brown (D)/b 53 (50)br / bKevin Coughlin (R)/b 32 (32)br //p /blockquote pNeither Mandel nor Coughlin appear to be making much headway against the Democratic incumbent. The GOP primary also appears to be frozen in place: Mandel’s 33-12 lead over Coughlin (the bulk of the primary electorate is undecided) is nearly identical to the previous Q poll in July./p pOn the presidential front, Mitt Romney maintains a modest lead over Rick Perry. When comparing to the previous poll, note that Perry’s ascendancy had not really begun by late July, so this was pre-boomlet:/p blockquotebMitt Romney:/b 24 (16)br / bRick Perry:/b 20 (8)br / bSarah Palin:/b 9 (15)br / bHerman Cain:/b 7 (6)br / bRon Paul:/b 6 (5)br / bNewt Gingrich:/b 4 (4)br / bRick Santorum:/b 4 (2)br / bMichele Bachmann:/b 3 (11)br / bJon Huntsman:/b 1 (1)br //blockquote pObviously, the biggest shift since the summer on the GOP side, here as it is elsewhere, is Michele Bachmann’s balloon being burst. She drops from a clear third place to a distant eighth place, looking up at the likes of Newt Gingrich and Rick Santorum. For her part, Sarah Palin has to be hoping for the (very real) prospect of a Rick Perry collapse, as that might make her relevant again. Her drop from July is nearly as steep as Bachmann’s./p pa href=”http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~at/lw6B80gPIXrthOjjIzZ3a9HLTkM/0/da”img src=”http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~at/lw6B80gPIXrthOjjIzZ3a9HLTkM/0/di” border=”0″ ismap=”true”/img/abr/ a href=”http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~at/lw6B80gPIXrthOjjIzZ3a9HLTkM/1/da”img src=”http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~at/lw6B80gPIXrthOjjIzZ3a9HLTkM/1/di” border=”0″ ismap=”true”/img/a/pdiv class=”feedflare” a href=”http://feeds.dailykos.com/~ff/dailykos/index?a=6hOz8HTT2wU:PQA5mID59Vg:H0mrP-F8Qgo”img src=”http://feeds.feedburner.com/~ff/dailykos/index?d=H0mrP-F8Qgo” border=”0″/img/a /divimg src=”http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/dailykos/index/~4/6hOz8HTT2wU” height=”1″ width=”1″/
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OH-Pres/OH-Sen: Obama leads narrowly, Brown’s Senate lead still in double digits